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2024-12-14 12:29:52

Deutsche Bank: MARCUS CHROMIK was appointed as Chief Risk Officer.Trump was elected as Time Magazine's Person of the Year.The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the third time in a row to boost the sluggish economy. The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the third time in a row on Thursday, and hinted that with inflation approaching 2% and the economy in trouble, it will further cut interest rates next year. The deposit rate was lowered by 25 basis points to 3%, which was in line with the expectations of all but one of the analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. This makes the total easing range since June reach 100 basis points. In its statement, the European Central Bank abandoned the wording that the policy would be "fully restrictive for a necessary long time", indicating that its position has changed. "The Management Committee is determined to ensure that the inflation rate is sustainably stabilized at the medium-term target of 2%." The European Central Bank said on Thursday. "The central bank will adopt a method of relying on data and meeting one after another to determine the appropriate monetary policy stance."


The number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7 in the United States was 242,000, with an expected number of 220,000 and a previous value of 224,000. In the United States, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the week ending November 30 was 1.886 million, with an expected 1.875 million and a previous value of 1.871 million.Analysis: The initial application data in the United States unexpectedly rose, and the number of initial jobless claims in the United States unexpectedly rose last week. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits continued to increase at the end of November compared with the beginning of the year, due to the cooling of labor demand. The US Department of Labor announced on Thursday that as of the week of December 7, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 to 242,000 after seasonal adjustment. Economists had expected that the number of initial jobless claims last week was only 220,000. The jump in initial jobless claims last week may reflect the fluctuation after the Thanksgiving holiday, but it may not mark a sudden change in the job market. The number of initial jobless claims may still fluctuate in the next few weeks, which may make it difficult to understand the job market clearly.Analyst Randow: The change in the wording of the European Central Bank shows that the ECB Committee has discussed the neutral interest rate. Otherwise, how can they decide what is restrictive and what is lenient? I am curious about what Lagarde will say next.


Jefferies lowered the Adobe target price from 700.00 to 650.00.Jefferies lowered the Adobe target price from 700.00 to 650.00.Analysts commented on the ECB's interest rate cut, and Christiansen, an analyst at Danske Bank, said that the restrictive hawkish tendency in the ECB's policy has been eliminated. However, there is no indication that the bank may cut interest rates sharply, and there is no indication that the terminal interest rate will fall. Carsten Brzeski, head of international macro business in the Netherlands, said that the European Central Bank decided to play it safe today and cut interest rates by 25 basis points. No more mention of "restrictive" monetary policy, which means there will be more interest rate cuts in the future. Analyst Randow said that the change in the wording of the European Central Bank indicates that the ECB Committee has discussed the neutral interest rate. Otherwise, how can they decide what is restrictive and what is lenient? I am curious about what Lagarde will say next. Vassilis, a foreign exchange strategist, said that the euro fell to a new low because the European Central Bank gave up the "restrictive policy" part of the statement, but this does not mean that the policy language is completely dovish. Bonds in the euro zone are in a moderate trend.

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